TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional NWSL soccer match between Houston and Washington, scheduled for October 4, 2026. The focus is on determining whether Houston, Washington, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the result of that specific game, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of the Houston vs. Washington professional NWSL soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to each possible outcome: Houston win, Washington win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation time result, with no consideration for post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets where odds adjust rapidly based on new information. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to significant news or developments related to the game, potentially offering an edge to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Houston vs Washington game. The market depth shows the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Houston vs Washington game as reported by a trusted source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive price changes. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to rapid adjustments in the odds for the Houston vs Washington game. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.