TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Houston and Utah. It covers all possible scoring scenarios, including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays, as well as any touchdowns scored during overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the first touchdown scored, with a separate outcome for the case where neither team scores a touchdown at all.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Houston vs Utah college football game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Utah scores first, Houston scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count toward the resolution, even if scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. You might find that this market offers different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights that aren't immediately apparent from conventional betting lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the same information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Houston, Utah, or no team scoring a TD. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific team will score first, the price of those contracts increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers prices and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first touchdown in the Houston versus Utah game, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final price of the contracts will reflect the outcome, and traders will be paid out accordingly based on their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Houston or Utah would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s dynamics. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations could also shift the odds. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders’ opinions and drive price movements. Any late-breaking information related to team performance or game-day conditions has the potential to move this market.