TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Houston and Tennessee, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible score differences to determine the result, reflecting how betting markets assess competitive balance and performance expectations.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Houston and Tennessee in their full game, including any overtime periods, scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Tennessee wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Houston wins by 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective market resolves to Yes. Each outcome category is mutually exclusive, ensuring a single resolution per game. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously update their beliefs based on new information. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome, or perhaps information not yet fully incorporated by one side or the other. It's common to see prediction markets as more accurate forecasts, especially closer to the event date, as they aggregate diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margin outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final margin and trading accordingly. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference between Houston and Tennessee will be used to determine the winning margin, and the contracts corresponding to the correct margin will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Houston or Tennessee would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even unexpected shifts in public sentiment could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Major upsets in other games involving these teams leading up to the event could also affect the perceived probabilities, leading to adjustments in the contract prices within this market.