TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jared Wayne will score one or more touchdowns in the Houston versus Tennessee professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 100.0% probability to Jared Wayne scoring 1+ touchdowns. The resolution source for this market is whether Jared Wayne scores at least one touchdown in the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Keep an eye on the official game statistics following the conclusion of the Houston versus Tennessee game on October 11, 2026, to see if Wayne reaches the required touchdown total for resolution.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each participant, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap - regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty - the market resolves strictly based on whether they scored one or more touchdowns during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all six markets covering individual offensive players Tony Pollard, Nico Collins, Woody Marks, David Montgomery, and the defensive units of both teams.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the event outcome than traditional betting odds, as the market incorporates new information and diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the latest available data and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Houston versus Tennessee game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be independently verified. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Houston or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the market, as weather conditions can affect scoring. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence traders’ expectations and lead to price adjustments. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in this market.