TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance in a professional football game between two teams. The outcome depends on whether either team exceeds specified yardage thresholds during the match. Markets adjust based on actual game results, with specific handling for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Houston or Tennessee in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific yardage threshold (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, or 450+) for each team, resolving to 'Yes' if the named team meets or exceeds its threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing. The markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Observing these differences can be insightful, as the market's price may adjust more rapidly to incorporate new data compared to traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards gained by both teams. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific yardage total occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning if more people believe the total yards will be high, the price of contracts predicting a higher total will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for both the Houston and Tennessee teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the verified total, representing the combined yardage achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Houston or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement, as this directly impacts offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either passing or running offenses, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Even general sentiment shifts, driven by expert analysis or public discussion, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.