TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times they manage to sack the opposing team's quarterback. Sacks are a key defensive statistic that can significantly impact the game's outcome.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Houston or Tennessee, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe sportsbooks are underestimating the number of sacks, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, the total number of sacks falling within a specific range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones result in losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and efficient estimate of the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Houston versus Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to the actual total number of sacks recorded during the game, determining which contracts pay out and which expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Houston or Tennessee offensive lines could significantly impact the expected number of sacks. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, might also affect the passing game and, consequently, the opportunities for sacks. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or defensive schemes could also shift trader sentiment. Any late-breaking news or analysis that alters perceptions of the game's dynamics has the potential to move this market.