TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a specific number of field goals or more during the match. The outcomes depend purely on the game's statistical performance.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by either Houston or Tennessee in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ field goals) for each team, and resolves to Yes only if the team's actual field goals meet or exceed that threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals trading on Kalshi. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see this market incorporate information and viewpoints not fully captured by standard sportsbook algorithms, offering a unique view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is driven entirely by user activity, meaning the collective predictions of those trading on the platform determine the odds, not any pre-defined model or expectation.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both teams during the Houston versus Tennessee game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the number of field goals will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Houston or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for kicking, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in team dynamics might also shift predictions. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could lead to further adjustments in the market price.