TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Tony Pollard achieves specific rushing yard thresholds during an upcoming football game between Houston and Tennessee. The outcome depends entirely on Pollard's performance in that single contest.
All markets resolve based on whether Tony Pollard records a specified minimum number of rushing yards in the Houston vs Tennessee professional football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Pollard is active for the team but does not take any snaps, markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Pollard takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based solely on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold-based markets for Pollard in this event.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly forecasting the outcome and willing to put capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may offer similar markets, the pricing mechanism and information sources differ, leading to potential discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more rapidly to new information and expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely rushing yardage total. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the level of conviction among traders. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yards total for both the Houston and Tennessee teams, as officially recorded by the game’s governing body, will determine the settlement of contracts. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the range containing the actual total rushing yards. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics following the game's completion to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is expected, could impact the teams' ability to run the ball effectively. Pre-game news regarding coaching strategies or play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a change in the expected game script or rushing attack effectiveness could lead to price movements in this market.