TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Houston and Tennessee. It focuses on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, providing insight into anticipated usage and offensive strategies.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active for the game but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of rushing attempts they record during the game. All markets are independent and evaluate different attempt thresholds for each named player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and influenced by factors like house edge and public betting biases. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust their beliefs based on new information. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of certain outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher number of rushing attempts is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both Houston and Tennessee during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be sourced from reliable sports data providers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or extreme conditions, which could affect play-calling strategies. News regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Game-day updates, such as early drive success or defensive adjustments, will likely cause price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding events. Unexpected strategic shifts during the game are also likely to move this market.