TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering markets that resolve based on whether individual players meet certain reception thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the number of receptions recorded by specified players in the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.) for the player’s receptions, and if the player meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, and each player’s performance is evaluated separately against their respective thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or interpretations, and can present opportunities for informed traders to find value. It’s common to see this market move independently of traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receptions. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. Essentially, the price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and changes based on supply and demand for that particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions for each player will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will then determine which outcome – over or under a specific receptions total – has occurred based on these verified statistics. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or the opposing team's defensive strategies could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact passing offenses, are also likely to move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on player matchups or coaching decisions could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.