TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific Houston and Tennessee football players in an upcoming game, focusing on their receiving yards. Contracts will pay out based on the total yards each player accumulates during the match, with payouts scaling linearly to the yardage achieved.
The event consists of four separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s receiving yards in the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded by the respective player, with payouts capped at $1.00, equivalent to a maximum of 400 receiving yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that total payouts for each contract sum to $1.00 regardless of outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; if the player records 200 yards, payouts split evenly at $0.50 each; and if the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving based solely on the corresponding player’s performance in the specified game. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to continuously update their assessments based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public and informed opinions about the likely outcome of the game and the performance of key players.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard ladder outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final receiving yard totals and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The platform facilitates this process by providing a transparent and efficient trading environment, allowing for real-time price discovery and risk management.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard statistics from the Houston vs Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yard totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome, reflecting the actual performance during the game. Traders will be able to view the final results and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the event.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different receiving yard outcomes. Unexpected developments in team matchups or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on player health or practice reports will likely be closely monitored by traders, potentially leading to price fluctuations as they adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.