TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Houston and Tennessee, with payouts scaling based on the number of receiving yards each player accumulates. The structure incentivizes accurate predictions of individual player output, reflecting potential game dynamics and player roles.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a progressively increasing amount tied to 10-yard increments of receiving yards, following a cubic scaling formula that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout schedule ranges from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards to $1.0000 for 200+ yards, with specific intermediate values detailed for each 10-yard bracket. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns of $1.00 when combined. Negative yardage results assign a $0.00 payout to Yes contracts. All calculations use the formula: Payout = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents official receiving yards. The structure creates a non-linear, risk-adjusted betting environment where higher yardage thresholds offer exponentially greater returns, reflecting the increasing difficulty of achieving larger statistical outputs.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the game, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive view of potential results. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage statistics for the Houston vs Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official receiving yardage totals as reported by official league sources will determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage range will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Houston or Tennessee teams would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore the receiving yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing.