TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard milestones. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
Each market evaluates whether a specified player achieves a particular receiving yard threshold in the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the player records the stated number of receiving yards or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A player must take at least one snap for the market to be active—if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. All resolutions are based solely on official game statistics, and the markets are independent of each other, each corresponding to a unique yardage benchmark for the specified player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, so the price is driven by the collective beliefs of participants. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific yardage range, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price essentially represents the collective forecast of all traders participating on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for both players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the combined receiving yards achieved by the players in the Houston versus Tennessee game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual final yardage range will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing game and therefore the receiving yardage totals. Finally, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or player matchups could shift expectations and cause traders to adjust their positions in this market.