TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:27 PM EST
Kalshi
Tyjae Spears is required to achieve a notable rushing play in the Houston vs Tennessee game, with the market resolving based on whether he exceeds a specific yardage mark during the match.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records a longest rush exceeding the stated yardage threshold in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap, the market outcome is determined by whether their longest rush meets or exceeds the threshold, even if the snap is nullified by a penalty. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league. Additionally, multiple markets are evaluated for resolution based on the same criteria, with each player's performance independently assessed against their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there’s a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Houston versus Tennessee game will be determined as the winner. Official game statistics from a reputable sports data provider will be used to verify the result. Traders who correctly predicted the player with the longest rush will receive a payout based on the final market price of their chosen contract.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game plan and affect rushing yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or team strategies could influence trader sentiment and move the market.