TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves during the match. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach certain benchmarks of scoring passes. The outcome depends entirely on the players' in-game success in connecting with receivers for touchdowns.
All markets in this event evaluate passing touchdown performance by Cam Ward and C.J. Stroud in the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, with thresholds ranging from 1 to 4+ touchdowns. For any market, if the referenced quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against specified scoring thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, risk aversion, or simply varying perspectives on the likelihood of different scenarios. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of passing touchdowns scored by each team during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. Official game statistics will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about quarterback performance or defensive matchups are also likely to cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could indicate shifts in sentiment and prompt others to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities before the market resolves.