TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how often their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. It examines different thresholds of interception counts to gauge risk and predictive outcomes for bettors and analysts.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks—Cam Ward or C.J. Stroud—during the Houston vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named quarterback meets or exceeds the specified interception threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+). If a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap, even if that play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome is determined solely by the actual interceptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of quarterback performance under varying interception thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds provide a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the game. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading or betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe there will be a high number of interceptions, they will buy contracts predicting that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, if they anticipate few interceptions, they will sell, lowering the price.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Houston vs Tennessee game will be the determining factor. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' recent performance, injury reports affecting their ability to throw accurately, or even weather conditions that might favor a passing or running game could all shift expectations. Changes in defensive strategies announced by either team, or even expert analysis predicting a high-pressure game leading to more interception opportunities, could also move this market. Keep an eye on these signals as they emerge leading up to Oct 11, 2026.