TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified athletes or units achieve certain fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on detailed statistical contributions across various categories such as passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive plays. All calculations follow a standardized fantasy scoring system applied uniformly to determine results.
Each market resolves based on whether the designated player or team unit accumulates more than a specified number of fantasy points during the full game, including overtime. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for yards gained, touchdowns scored, and other statistical achievements while deducting points for interceptions, missed kicks, and allowed points for defenses. If a participant does not play or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point total published by Sleeper at the time the market expires is used for resolution, with no rounding or post-expiration adjustments allowed. All markets share these consistent scoring and evaluation rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new data than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the final fantasy point total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total fantasy points scored in the Houston vs Tennessee game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the market collectively believes will happen, and traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point total, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total fantasy point score equal to or above the settlement price will pay $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Houston or Tennessee teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect passing or rushing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or team strategies could lead to shifts in the price of contracts for this market.