TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for Houston in their upcoming game against Tennessee. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by who crosses the goal line first for Houston.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for Houston in the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap, even if the play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome depends solely on whether that player scores the first Houston touchdown. If no Houston touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Houston Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets, ensuring consistent settlement criteria for each participant.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If many traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise, and vice versa. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current top outcome is unavailable.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown for Houston in the game against Tennessee. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the outcome will be determined by the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The outcome will be determined after the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players for Houston, particularly the wide receivers or running backs, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about the game's scoring dynamics. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market as traders react to new information.