TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Houston will win against San Antonio by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming professional basketball game. Currently, the probability of Houston winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 63.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Houston vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of the game on October 23, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Houston vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 23, 2026. For markets where San Antonio must win by a specified margin, the market resolves to Yes only if San Antonio’s victory exceeds that margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Houston must win by a specified margin, the market resolves to Yes only if Houston’s victory exceeds that margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to or place greater weight on information not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Houston vs San Antonio game, as determined by official sports data sources, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official sources as the game approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or San Antonio teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game location, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also influence the market. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.