TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team—Houston or San Antonio—will win a professional basketball game scheduled for October 23, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives San Antonio a 54.0% probability of winning, while Houston is at 47.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Houston vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Houston wins the game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, and will be settled by October 24, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the professional basketball game between Houston and San Antonio scheduled for October 23, 2026. If Houston wins, the Houston market resolves to Yes, and the San Antonio market resolves to No. Conversely, if San Antonio wins, the San Antonio market resolves to Yes, and the Houston market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result of the game as played. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. Typically, you'll find that prediction markets are highly efficient at incorporating new information quickly, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches. However, the initial odds may be similar, and both can be influenced by public perception and early betting trends. It’s useful to compare them to see where discrepancies lie.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Houston vs San Antonio matchup. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. It's important to monitor news and official results leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift the market's sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related games or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could influence trading activity. The closer we get to Oct 24, 2026, the more sensitive this market will become to any new information that could affect the perceived probability of each outcome.