TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:23h:17m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Houston and Saint Louis. Participants can speculate on whether the combined goals will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for the total goals scored in the Houston vs Saint Louis MLS match scheduled for November 7, 2026. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals exceed the specified amount after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty phases. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and resolution hinges strictly on the official match result within regular time parameters. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no formal affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows for a more fluid and decentralized assessment of probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust as the event approaches, potentially converging with the prediction market price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, reflecting the evolving consensus view on the likely total goals.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Houston vs Saint Louis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Houston or Saint Louis would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team lineups could shift market sentiment. Unexpected tactical decisions during the match itself, or early goals scored, could also lead to significant price fluctuations in this market.