TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional NWSL soccer match between Houston and Orlando, focusing on the result after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market allows participants to speculate on whether Houston, Orlando, or a tie will be the final outcome of the game as it was originally scheduled. Outcomes are determined strictly within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of the Houston vs. Orlando professional NWSL soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Houston win, Orlando win, or a tie. If the game concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the league, without regard to any post-regulation proceedings.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. Polls and analysts currently suggest a close contest, but this market provides a unique view based on real money being put behind predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, and risk appetite among participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Houston vs Orlando game, as reported by a widely recognized source for sports results. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome, and the contracts will settle accordingly. The final result will determine which contracts pay out at 100 and which expire at zero.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they affect game play, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can impact trader behavior and influence the price of contracts. Major upsets in related games or league standings might also play a role.