TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$81,408,110

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,158,719,757

338,335

Markets across

33,183

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,218

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of an upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees scheduled for August 26, 2026. The markets will resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for tie or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch: Opinion requires team-specific outcomes while Kalshi always resolves to YesHero tip: Do not treat these markets as interchangeable. Kalshi’s Yes outcome has no correlation to the actual game winner. Arbitrage strategies will fail due to Kalshi’s structural contradiction with the event reality.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves to Houston Astros if they win, New York Yankees if they win, or 50-50 for tie/cancellation. Source: MLB.com official result.
  • Kalshi: Always resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. No provision for tie or cancellation outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional baseball game between Houston and New York Y originally scheduled for August 26, 2026, at 7:05 PM EDT. If either team wins the game as scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-27 23:05 UTC: If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Houston vs New York Y matchup market aggregates data from multiple prediction platforms, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $0, and 24-hour volume of $0. It provides a consensus view of how traders across venues price this contest, highlighting any shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game result, reflecting the performance of the teams on the day of the match.

Key performances, injuries, and playoff positioning can strongly influence this market as Aug 27, 2026 approaches. Traders will watch regular-season results, player health updates, and any major coaching changes. Momentum shifts or surprise roster moves may cause rapid repricing. The 24-hour volume of $0 suggests sensitivity to news flow, so stay alert for breaking developments that could sway expectations before settlement.