TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Houston and Minnesota. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Houston vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform’s guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Houston vs Minnesota game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, which drives the market towards a fair valuation.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Houston vs Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and their associated payouts once the resolution process is complete. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also have an impact, although the market often diverges from these sources. Major upsets in related games or broader league trends could also contribute to movement in the market leading up to Oct 25, 2026.