TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Houston and Kansas State. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The market determines which team, if any, will score the first touchdown in the Houston vs Kansas State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—are counted toward resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts for that team's market. Should neither team score a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team' market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the informed opinions of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move more quickly in response to breaking news, while this market’s price discovery relies on a broader base of traders reacting to information. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a specific team will score the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—provides insight into the strength of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Houston vs Kansas St. game. The official game results, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Kansas St. teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly those affecting the passing game, could also play a role. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can drive price movements, reflecting changes in collective belief about which team is favored to score first.