TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Houston will win its college football game against Kansas St. Currently, Kalshi gives Houston a 93.0% probability of winning, while Kansas St. is at 6.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Houston vs Kansas St. game, as determined by the official result, with resolution source details available on Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as the result of this fixture will determine the market’s outcome.
The market resolves based on the official outcome of the Houston vs Kansas St. college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open and resolves according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. There are separate primary rules for each team's victory, with identical secondary conditions for both.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply different interpretations of the same data. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Houston vs Kansas St. game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe Houston will win, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Houston vs Kansas St. game, as reported by a trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The final price will reflect the market’s assessment immediately before the official result is known, providing a clear record of the crowd’s prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team dynamics or player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by actual trading activity. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.