TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Parker Washington or Ameer Abdullah will each score at least one touchdown in the Houston versus Jacksonville professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Parker Washington a 10.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Ameer Abdullah is at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Chris Rodriguez Jr. scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the final player reports leading up to the game on October 18, 2026, to assess potential changes in playing time and opportunity for these players.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player or team scores the designated number of touchdowns during the game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a participant takes at least one snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether the required touchdowns are scored, regardless of any penalties that may nullify the play. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goals by the offensive team are excluded from consideration. All markets are independent, and the resolution is strictly based on the stated criteria for each individual or unit.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines, which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly than this market reacts to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. While sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as new information becomes available. It’s common to see this market converge towards what many consider the ‘true’ probability as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official game statistics for the Houston versus Jacksonville matchup, focusing on the total number of touchdowns scored by both teams. The official NFL game logs will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract in this market. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the completion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing game, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could influence trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly impact this market as information flows between different venues and traders adjust their positions accordingly.