TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specified minimum thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Houston or Jacksonville, resolving to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual completion status.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market price, while lower volume may suggest more uncertainty.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the total number of sacks recorded by Jacksonville during their game against Houston. The market will settle based on whether Jacksonville achieves 2 or more sacks, as officially recorded by the NFL. No further details on the specifics of the outcome determination are available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key defensive players on either team, particularly Jacksonville's pass rushers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game and, consequently, the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about the offensive line matchups or coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment and move the odds in this market.