TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve specific scoring milestones, offering a granular way to engage with the game's outcome beyond just the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by either Houston or Jacksonville in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for a given team (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts with potential biases. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages or promotional offers, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly deviate from the probabilities implied by this market, it could indicate disagreement about key game factors, such as weather conditions or player injuries, or simply differing opinions on team performance. It’s a useful comparison for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, Jacksonville scoring 4+ Field Goals, has a significant volume traded, indicating strong interest in that possibility. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of field goals scored in the Houston versus Jacksonville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any late-breaking news or game developments. The market’s final price will reflect the actual number of field goals scored during the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key players – such as the starting quarterback or kicker for either team – and their injury status would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly wind conditions, could also shift expectations, as they directly affect field goal accuracy. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or betting patterns could influence trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.