TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Houston will win its game against Jacksonville by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Houston winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 58.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, as determined by the final score of that game. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 18, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Jacksonville wins by a margin exceeding any specified threshold—from 1.5 to 20.5 points—the corresponding 'Jacksonville wins by over [X] points' market settles as Yes. Conversely, if Houston wins by more than any designated margin—from 1.5 to 14.5 points—the respective 'Houston wins by over [X] points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the final score. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league or its trademarks is implied through these rules.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to align with those offered by sportsbooks, but subtle differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in how each venue processes information. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to news and developments than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely result.
On Kalshi, the price of this market is determined by supply and demand. Traders place bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on the imbalance between buyers and sellers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Essentially, the price represents the market’s consensus probability of a particular outcome occurring. Higher trading volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's accuracy, and currently, the 24-hour volume is $7,389,956. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market will resolve around Oct 18, 2026, and the outcome will be determined by the official final point spread of the game. The result will be verified against credible public sources, such as official NFL reporting, to ensure accuracy. This provides a clear and objective basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders can monitor the progress of the game and anticipate the resolution as the event unfolds.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either team, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and, consequently, the market. Major coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could influence trader behavior and alter the price.