TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between Houston and Jacksonville. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed specified yardage thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the rushing yard requirement. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all rushing yard totals include overtime plays.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to reflect a more accurate probability assessment, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing yard totals for the Houston versus Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will serve as the source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official data is released. It's important to monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly running backs or offensive linemen, would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could influence the game plan and affect rushing yard totals. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or coaching strategies could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or team tactics could lead to substantial changes in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.