TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in a football game between Houston and Jacksonville, focusing on how many rushing yards each player accumulates. Participants can bet on whether the players will meet certain yardage thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual performance. The structure allows for dynamic returns depending on in-game results.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Houston vs. Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 rushing yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 rushing yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; if a player records 200 rushing yards, Yes and No contracts each pay $0.50; and if a player records zero rushing yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves to Yes if the specified conditions are met.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different rushing yard ladder outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price will adjust as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions about the game’s outcome, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics from the Houston versus Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out, based on whether they exceeded the specified yardage thresholds. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics as reported by the NFL.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or wind, could also influence expectations for the rushing game. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even updated player performance analysis, could all contribute to shifts in the market as traders adjust their predictions before the game concludes.