TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how many rushing yards specific players achieve in a football game between Houston and Jacksonville. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage totals, reflecting the performance of each named player on the field.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the specified football game. Each Yes contract’s payout scales non-linearly with every 10-yard increment, following a cubic function that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula adjusts raw yardage values to the nearest 10-yard bracket before applying the cubic calculation. No contracts receive the remainder of $1.00 after subtracting the Yes payout, with both Yes and No payouts bounded between $0.00 and $1.00. Negative rushing totals result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. The market resolves to Yes once official statistics are confirmed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices can fluctuate significantly based on news, injuries, or shifts in public sentiment, making it a dynamic environment for those looking to express their views on the game's rushing yardage totals.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing yardage statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market and any associated payouts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the running game, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or player matchups could also cause fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and move the market accordingly.