TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance metrics in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record designated rushing and receiving yardage totals in the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual combined rushing and receiving yards recorded during the game. Each market has a unique yardage threshold that must be met for a 'Yes' resolution. The markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as prediction markets often incorporate information and analysis faster than sportsbooks. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of the event happening, based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing and receiving yard totals for the players involved in the Houston versus Jacksonville game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final results. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and impact the prices on Kalshi.