TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the match.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of receptions. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full-game receptions, including overtime. All markets resolve to Yes if the specified player records the required number of receptions, otherwise they resolve to No.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are frequently set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or specific information, while this market aggregates the views of many participants. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome than traditional odds. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for identifying potential value discrepancies and informing your trading strategy in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential reception totals. The market is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price will rise.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL statistics and used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective assessment of the results, providing clarity for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players involved are a major catalyst, as a player's absence would alter expected reception numbers. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect passing games, can also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or player roles could shift sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could cause the market to react and prices to adjust before Oct 18, 2026.