TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of specific Houston and Jacksonville players in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many times each player records a reception. The outcomes are directly tied to the statistical performance of these players during the match.
Each market operates as a scalar prediction mechanism where Yes contracts pay out based on the number of receptions a designated player achieves during the specified game, with a fixed rate of $0.05 per reception. Payouts are capped at $1.00, corresponding to a maximum of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay the remainder, ensuring the total payout for any contract equals $1.00. For instance, if a player records 8 receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60. If no receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All payouts scale proportionally with the holder's position size, creating a balanced risk-reward structure for participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome, while significant price swings can signal breaking news or shifts in sentiment regarding the NFL receptions market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources as the game concludes to understand the final results and how they impact this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key wide receivers or tight ends, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in quarterback performance or game plans could also influence expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect passing volume and therefore reception numbers. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could create new trading opportunities in this market.