TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Houston and Jacksonville. Participants can bet on whether each player's reception count will hit certain thresholds, with payouts scaling based on performance. The structure incentivizes predictions about player involvement and effectiveness during the match.
The event consists of multiple parallel scalar markets, each focused on a different Houston or Jacksonville player’s reception count in the game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a predefined schedule that increases with the number of receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where s represents the official receptions recorded. The maximum Yes payout per contract is $1.00, and No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. All markets resolve to Yes if the specified conditions are met for each respective player, with payouts determined solely by the actual reception counts recorded during the game. The structure ensures that each player’s market operates independently, allowing participants to assess individual performance predictors separately.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final reception totals for the players involved in the Houston versus Jacksonville game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their contract values updated accordingly after the event concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could impact predictions about reception totals. Significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can also drive trading activity. Unexpected performance from players in preceding games, or adjustments to defensive schemes by either team, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.