TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Marvin Harrison Jr. will achieve over 25 receiving yards in the Houston versus Jacksonville professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to this outcome. The market will resolve based on whether Nate Boerkircher records 15+ receiving yards in the game, as reported by official game statistics. Keep a close eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 18, 2026, as the final receiving yard totals will determine the resolution of this market.
All markets refer to the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player records the designated receiving yard threshold during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation for each player's performance relative to their respective yardage targets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, whereas this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals actively trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by public perception, this market can adjust more rapidly to new information as it becomes available. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yard totals for the game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely receiving yardage. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, offering insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Houston vs Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each team will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the official data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics as the resolution date approaches to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing game strategies and therefore receiving yardage. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or shifts in offensive play-calling could also influence the market. Finally, any significant news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.