TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for quarterbacks in a specific football game, allowing participants to bet on whether a player will exceed certain yardage thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the actual performance of the named players during the game. Settlement is based on official statistics from the contest.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified quarterback records the exact passing yard threshold or higher in the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly according to the total passing yards officially recorded for that player during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for both Trevor Lawrence and C.J. Stroud, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance metrics regardless of the specific threshold being wagered upon.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the specified passing yard total is achieved.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yard statistics for the Houston versus Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the actual passing yards for each quarterback, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the traded outcomes were exceeded or not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would significantly impact trading activity. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about key receiver availability or defensive strategies employed by either team could also move the market. Finally, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence trader behavior and alter the prices in this market.