TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines which player will accumulate the highest number of receiving yards in an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market focuses on a specific player, with outcomes based on their performance relative to all other participants in the game.
The event resolves based on which listed player records the most receiving yards in the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If the designated player achieves the highest yardage, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the player does not participate, the market resolves to No. In the event of a tie among multiple players for the highest yards, the payout is divided equally among all tied markets, calculated as 1/N, where N is the number of tied players. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate information and adjust to new developments. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and traditional sports betting venues, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific player will lead in receiving yards, the price of that contract increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s mechanism ensures that prices dynamically adjust to reflect the latest information and trader beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the most receiving yards in the Houston versus Jacksonville game will determine the winning outcome. Official NFL statistics will be used to verify the results, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or adjustments to offensive strategies could further move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to significant price fluctuations as traders react to new information.