TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Houston and Jacksonville. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Houston vs. Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Jacksonville scores first, Houston scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those that occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The event is independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when considering the collective intelligence of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can offer a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present arbitrage opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each player scoring the first touchdown.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Houston and Jacksonville. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either team – especially running backs or wide receivers – would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Pre-game reports about coaching strategies or defensive matchups might influence traders’ assessments. Finally, any late-breaking news or developments related to team morale or player availability could move the market before Oct 18, 2026.