TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified participants achieve certain fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) of the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football match scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories including passing/rushing/receiving yards and touchdowns, kicking performances, and defensive/special teams contributions such as sacks, interceptions, and points allowed. Each market has a specific threshold; if the designated player or team exceeds their respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Players who do not participate or receive no fantasy-point value are treated as scoring zero. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. All markets are independent, and each evaluates a unique participant’s performance against their set benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, it's important to note that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players in the Houston vs Jacksonville game will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'over' or 'under' for each contract. The official fantasy point totals from a recognized fantasy sports provider will serve as the basis for resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players in previous games, or updated projections from fantasy football analysts, could also lead to price adjustments. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, causing the market to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.