TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Houston and Jacksonville. Payouts are directly tied to the players' fantasy points scored during the match, calculated using a standardized scoring system. The structure ensures that returns scale with the player's effectiveness on the field.
Each market determines payouts based on the PPR fantasy points scored by a specified player during the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For each market, the Yes payout per contract equals $0.01 multiplied by the player's weekly PPR fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the player that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning a holder with a larger position receives a correspondingly larger share of the total payout. All markets utilize the same payout calculation methodology and rounding rules, ensuring consistency across all player-specific markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives into the pricing of this market. Examining these differences can be insightful for both bettors and analysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about C.J. Stroud's fantasy scalar ladder. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to represent the most current assessment of the outcome. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy points scored by C.J. Stroud in the NFL game between Houston and Jacksonville are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official fantasy football scoring rules and data provided by established sports data providers. Traders will be able to see the final results and the corresponding payout for their contracts once the resolution process is complete. The market will then be closed and settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams, particularly C.J. Stroud, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions unfavorable for passing, could also impact expectations. Additionally, updates on player matchups and coaching strategies, as well as any late-breaking news related to team performance, could all contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing.