TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of an upcoming football game between Houston and Jacksonville. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can assess. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points scored by both teams during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Houston and Jacksonville during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets are independent, each with its own threshold ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. The governing league’s official scoring and game timing are authoritative. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Houston Texans versus Jacksonville Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contract at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Texans would have a substantial impact, as would changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors closely can help you understand potential movements in this market before it resolves.