TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Houston and Jacksonville during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses exclusively on the scoring differential within that specific timeframe, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
The event evaluates whether Houston or Jacksonville achieves a specified point differential victory during the second quarter of their October 18, 2026, professional football game. Multiple markets exist with varying threshold point spreads — from over 1.5 points up to over 10.5 points — for both teams. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter of play, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the winning team exceeds the exact spread designated for that specific market by more than the stated margin within that quarter. The broader thresholds represent more challenging conditions to satisfy, demanding larger victory margins.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If there's a substantial difference, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow you to buy and sell your predictions up until the event occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome. For example, a contract priced at 60 means it costs 60 dollars to buy a contract that pays out 100 dollars if the outcome occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts as traders buy and sell, reflecting their collective expectations about the 2nd quarter spread. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second quarter of the Houston versus Jacksonville game will be used to determine winning contracts. Contracts predicting the correct spread will pay out 100 dollars, while those predicting an incorrect spread will be worth 0 dollars. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, especially as the game draws closer.