TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the second half of an upcoming football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to consider it a success.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Houston and Jacksonville in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (3.5, 7.5, 10.5, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these thresholds. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading contracts based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of people believe the sportsbook odds are inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Jaguars-Texans second half total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, whether the second half total will be over or under the specified number of points. As more people buy contracts predicting one outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s second half scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the second half of the game between the Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contract wins. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the definitive record for settlement purposes. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Jaguars or the Texans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.