TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Houston or Jacksonville in the second half of their football game, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a win.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Houston vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For markets where Jacksonville is the favored team to win by a certain margin, the outcome resolves to Yes only if Jacksonville's second-half points exceed Houston's by more than the specified threshold. Conversely, for markets where Houston is the favored team, the outcome resolves to Yes only if Houston's second-half points exceed Jacksonville's by more than the specified threshold. Points scored in the first half of the game are irrelevant for resolution. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific point differential requirement, ranging from 1.5 to 13.5 points, depending on the market. The governing league's official scoring and game results are the sole determinants of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional offers, which can skew the lines. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set the spread based on power rankings and expert analysis, the prediction market can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and trader conviction shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as game day approaches and more data becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread difference in the second half of the Houston versus Jacksonville game will be compared to the market’s spread to determine winning contracts. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to settle this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi—indicating strong conviction from informed traders—could trigger noticeable price movements in this market.