TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and reward based on expected scoring pace.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the designated football game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Points from any other quarters or periods do not count. All markets share identical secondary rules and disclaimers regarding affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Houston vs Jacksonville 1st quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s result, and the market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, effectively aggregating the insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between Houston and Jacksonville will be used to determine the result. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the relevant sports league, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Houston or Jacksonville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might sway traders' opinions, leading to shifts in the market price. Public perception and expert analysis can also contribute to price fluctuations.