TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle positively.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Houston or Jacksonville in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the specified team scores more points than that threshold in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores at or below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a different level of performance requirement for the respective team. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to align with sportsbook odds, though differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and participant expertise. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy appears, it might indicate that prediction market traders possess insights not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or vice versa. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective on the event's potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Jaguars-Texans first half team total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of collective expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half team totals for the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts settle at $1.00 and which settle at $0.00. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available data and the established rules of Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Jaguars or the Texans would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Even late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends, could cause the market to move as traders adjust their predictions.