TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total number of goals scored in a professional MLS soccer match between Houston and Dallas. Each outcome measures whether a specific threshold of goals is surpassed during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The thresholds increase progressively across different markets.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Houston vs Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, counting only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count toward any outcome. Each market has a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the threshold specified in a market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each evaluates its own specific threshold separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public betting patterns, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd and allows traders to react to breaking news or subtle shifts in expectations. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of different outcomes, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set their own bids and asks, creating a dynamic price discovery process. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Houston vs Dallas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league. The market will determine which outcome – a specific total goals range – was the correct one based on the official result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or expert analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.